EllTec Analysis
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DCF calculator

Model the fair value of every stock EllTec Analysis covers with a discounted cash flow model: change growth, discount rate and terminal growth and see the result, the scenarios and the sensitivity at once.

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Defaults from stockanalysis.com as of Oct 29, 2026: FCF yield 11.1 %, WACC 11.4 %, analyst growth forecasts revenue 9.9 %, EPS 14.2 %.

Fair value per share

467.11 USD

Share price: 248.12 USD

+88 %

below the fair value: undervalued under these assumptions

Projected free cash flow per share and its value today

0.031.663.312345678910Year
Cash flow in the year Value today (discounted)

Where the value comes from

  • Years 1-10: 244.89 USD (52 %)
  • Terminal value (after year 10): 225.15 USD (48 %)
  • Net debt: −2.93 USD

Scenarios: likely range

FCF growth p.a.WACCTerminalFair value per share
Pessimistic6.4 %12.4 %2.0 %336.76 USD
Base case9.9 %11.4 %2.5 %467.11 USD
Optimistic13.4 %10.4 %3.0 %671.91 USD

Range Base case Share price

Pessimistic and optimistic change growth (about ±⅓), discount rate (±1 point) and terminal growth (±0.5 points) from your current inputs.

Sensitivity: fair value by discount rate and terminal growth

WACC ↓ · g →1.5 %2.0 %2.5 %3.0 %3.5 %
9.4 %558584615650691
10.4 %489509531557586
11.4 %435450467486507
12.4 %391403416430446
13.4 %355364374385398

Green: above the share price, red: below it. The highlighted cell is your current input.

How the model works

The free cash flow per share grows for five years at the chosen rate; in years 6 to 10 the growth moves in a straight line to the terminal rate. After year 10 the terminal value assumes growth at the terminal rate forever: cash flow in year 11 ÷ (discount rate − terminal growth).

Every amount is discounted to today: value today = cash flow ÷ (1 + discount rate)^year. The sum is the value of the business per share; net debt is deducted (net cash added) to get the fair value per share.

The discount rate is the return investors require for the risk (weighted average cost of capital). A higher rate means a lower value. The terminal value often makes up 60 to 80 % of the result, which is why small changes to terminal growth or the discount rate move the fair value so much.

A model, not a forecast: the result depends entirely on the assumptions. Not investment advice.